Positive Global Trends In Marine Ingredients Production Reported In The First Three Quarters Of 2025
18 December 2025, Peru: In Peru, the second fishing season in the North–Centre region is ongoing, with two thirds of the 1.63 million metric ton quota completed so far. “This is a positive sign which leads us at IFFO to project a production of 5.4 million tons for fishmeal and 1.2 million tons for fish oil in 2025” Dr Enrico Bachis, IFFO’s Market Research Director, commented.
Based on the market reports which IFFO shares with its Members, by October 2025 the total cumulative annual fishmeal production* rose by approximately 7% compared to the same period in 2024. This increase was driven by higher output in most regions, except for the Iceland and North Atlantic area, which reported a year-on-year decline.
Similarly, cumulative fish oil output through October 2025* showed a year-on-year increase of around 5%. Most countries recorded positive trends compared to January–October 2024, with the exception of Peru, where lower oil yields in 2025 played a significant role in the decline.
* This data is based on statistics shared by IFFO members in Chile, Denmark, Faroe Islands, Iceland, Ivory Coast, Mauritius, Norway, the UK, the USA, Peru, South Africa and Spain, accounting for 40% of global fishmeal production and 50% of fish oil output.
China’s cumulative fishmeal consumption in aquaculture and pig farming likely to surpass that of 2024
Domestic production of marine ingredients has been limited during the last quarter of 2025. We do not expect production for the year to surpass the 2024 level which was estimated at 570,000 metric tons.
According to the Ministry of Agriculture, domestic aquaculture production continued to grow through October across key farming regions. Currently, active aquafarming is mainly concentrated in warmer provinces such as Guangdong, Guangxi, and Hainan. White-leg shrimp cultivated in sheds and greenhouses remains one of the primary farmed species, helping to support fishmeal consumption. In contrast, farmers in colder regions have largely suspended aquaculture activities, either stopping feed use entirely or significantly reducing it.
Cumulative fishmeal consumption in aquaculture is estimated to have exceeded last year’s levels so far, even though demand over the past two months has been lower on a year-on-year basis.
On the livestock side, pig and piglet prices remain subdued due to oversupply. Although the sow herd had been significantly reduced by the end of October, an adjustment that will tighten pig supply next year, the current supply of newborn piglets still exceeds that of a year ago. Normally, a larger piglet population would support stronger fishmeal consumption. However, recent softness in piglet demand has led to lower commercial piglet feed production, thereby affecting fishmeal usage. Thanks to stronger piglet demand in the first half of 2025, overall fishmeal consumption for the year is expected to surpass 2024 levels.
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